Department of Statistics, Michael Okpara University of Agriculture Umudike, Abia State, Nigeria
Research Article
A Comparative Chaotic Analysis of COVID-19 Infection in Some States of Nigeria
Author(s): Emmanuel J Ekpenyong, Chisimkwuo John and Charles Chinedu Nworu*
SARS-CoV-2 epidemic broke out in Wuhan, China in early December 2019. It spread across almost the entire continents of the world. Consequently, the World Health Organization (WHO) declared it a global pandemic on March 11, 2020. In Nigeria, sub-Saharan Africa, the first case of Coronavirus disease was confirmed by the federal ministry of health in Lagos state, the commercial nerve centre of the country. To assist government to make efficient decision making, we developed a forecasting model that will assist in predicting likely deaths. To achieve this, we used daily confirmed cases of COVID-19 from the Nigeria Centre for Disease Control (NCDC) database from 29th February 2020 to 16th August 2020 (comprising 167 observations). The dataset is of two categories; total (cumulative) daily confirmed cases by states and daily confirmed cases by states. The data for each.. View More»
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